The Calm Briefing

Good morning, Daniel. Tuesday, March 03, 2026

Headlines (The 2-Minute Scan)

TRENDING AI Won’t Automatically Accelerate Clinical Trials
TRENDING Think through the situation one step further
TRENDING The war
TRENDING If you have the right to die, you should have the right to try!
TRENDING Saturday assorted links
TRENDING Some opinions
TRENDING Stand with free speech and the Constitution
TRENDING New results on the economic costs of climate change

Trending Reads

Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

Although I’m optimistic that AI will design better drug candidates, this alone cannot ensure “therapeutic abundance,” for a few reasons. First, because the history of drug development shows that even when strong preclinical models exist for a condition, like osteoporosis, the high costs needed to...

Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

Many of you got upset when I mentioned the possibility that parents use smart phone software to control the social media usage of their kids.  There was an outcry about how badly those systems work (is that endogenous?).  But that is missing the point. If you wish to limit social media usage, man...

Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

You may comment here if you wish…

The post The war appeared first on Marginal REVOLUTION.

...
Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

Ruxandra Teslo asks a good question: I have a curiosity: why is it the case that it is easier to get MAID in Canada than it is to access experimental treatments which carry a higher risk? In the past, I used to think ppl do not like “deaths caused by the medical system”, but for [R...

Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

1. “It’s a win for fairly orthodox economic thought.”  Yessirree. 2. Maybe the public does not hate AI? 3. Cees Nooteboom, RIP. 4. “Neanderthal men in Neanderthal societies may have had a strong attraction to hybrid women — that is, to women with a modern human parent or g...

Marginal Revolution • 2d ago

On the war, Matt Yglesias has a good take.  On AI and the military, Ross Douthat has a good take (NYT).  If you wish to sample an “outside the box” opinion, here is Eliezer.

The post Some opi...

Marginal Revolution • 1d ago

A landmark law that limits children under the age of 16 to one hour per day on social media apps has been blocked by a US court, in a blow to child safety campaigners seeking to limit exposure to sites such as Instagram and YouTube. In an opinion released on Friday, a federal judge in […]

Marginal Revolution • 1d ago

I promised you I would be tracking this issue, and so here is a major development.  From the QJE by Adrien Bilal and Diego R Känzig:: This paper estimates that the macroeconomic damages from climate change are an order of magnitude larger than previously thought. Exploiting natural global tempera...

Marginal Revolution • 1d ago

Yes I will be doing a Conversation with her.  She is the author of a forthcoming book on Weimar, namely Weimar: Life on the Edge of Catastrophe.  Note that much of the book considers the city of Weimar, mostly in Nazi times, and not just the Weimar era.  She also has published Beyond the Wall: [&...

Marginal Revolution • 1d ago

1. “Model this.” 2. UAE to cover expenses for affected travelers.  And “emergency visas” are issued on the spot. 3. Abbas Amanat, Iran: A Modern History is for me (by far) the best general history of the country.  I like the cover too. 4. From two weeks ago: “Perhaps...

Marginal Revolution • 20h ago

Some observations and comments on Trump and Israel’s war on Iran: 1. Tehran is not looking for a ceasefire and has rejected outreach from Trump. The reason is that they believe they committed a mistake by agreeing to the ceasefire in June – it only enabled the US and Israel to restock...

Marginal Revolution • 20h ago

Numerous nations in the Middle East are being pulled into the current conflict and have received missile attacks from Iran.  I believe the proper Bayesian update is that Brazil is underrated. The country has plenty of water, and lots of capacity to grow its own food.  It is an agricultural powerh...

Marginal Revolution • 13h ago

My latest paper, Chaos and Misallocation under Price Controls, (with Brian Albrecht and Mark Whitmeyer) has a new take on price controls: Price controls kill the incentive for arbitrage. We prove a Chaos Theorem: under a binding price ceiling, suppliers are indifferent across destinations, so arb...

Marginal Revolution • 8h ago

From my new Free Press column, I see these as the most important facts: Congress has not passed explicit regulation of AI foundation models, and an executive order from President Trump limited regulation at the state level. But do not think that laissez-faire reigns. In addition to existing (larg...

Marginal Revolution • 5h ago

1. Claims about drones. 2. Just say no to the monopsony model. 3. Your dose of John Cochrane. 4. More on the recent climate change estimate.  It seems the paper should not have been published? 5. “During their lives, centenarians rarely get sick.“

The post

Hacker News • 11h ago
Hacker News • 11h ago
Hacker News • 10h ago

Share your information if you are looking for work. Please use this format:

  Location:
  Remote:
  Willing to relocate:
  Technologies:
  Résumé/CV:
  Email:
Please only post if you are personally looking for work. Agencies, recruiters, job boards, and so on, are off t...
Hacker News • 10h ago

Please state the location and include REMOTE for remote work, REMOTE (US) or similar if the country is restricted, and ONSITE when remote work is not an option.

Please only post if you personally are part of the hiring company—no recruiting firms or job boards. One post per company. If i...

Hacker News • 9h ago

Hi HN! My name is Rohan and, together with Paul, I’m the co-founder of OctaPulse (https://www.tryoctapulse.com/). We’re building a robotics layer for seafood production, starting with automated fish inspection. We are currently deployed at our first pro...

Hacker News • 8h ago

Govbase tracks every bill, executive order, and federal regulation from official sources (Congress.gov, Federal Register, White House). An AI pipeline breaks each one down into plain-language summaries and shows who it impacts by demographic group.

It also ties each policy directly to bias-rate...

Hacker News • 6h ago

A filter list for uBO that blurs all video and non-follower content from Instagram. Works on mobile with uBO Lite.

related: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47016443


Comments URL:

Hacker News • 5h ago
Hacker News • 5h ago

A little weekend project, made so I can pause/play/rewind directly on the piano, when learning a song by ear.


Comments URL: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47223863

Points: 39

# Comments: 15

...
Hacker News • 4h ago

I built a voice agent from scratch that averages ~400ms end-to-end latency (phone stop → first syllable). That’s with full STT → LLM → TTS in the loop, clean barge-ins, and no precomputed responses.

What moved the needle:

Voice is a turn-taking problem, not a transcription problem. VAD alone ...